Rent vs. Buy
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Income & shared assumptions

Apply to both Buy and Rent. Income is post-tax monthly. Investment return drives the opportunity-cost portfolio; inflation inflates ongoing costs; the time horizon is the year for break-even comparison and net-sale calculations.

Buyhome purchase

Purchase costs
Ongoing ownership costs
Asset liquidation
Exit costs
Mortgage P&I$4,045
Property tax$667
Insurance$150
HOA$0
PMI$0
Maintenance$1,000
Utilities$0
Total monthly cost$5,862
Down payment$160,000
Closing costs$24,000
Initial equity$160,000
Equity after 5 yrs$328,309
Liquidation tax (one-time)$24,000
Monthly net cash flow$4,138

Rentrenting

Rental costs
Rent$3,000
Renters insurance$20
Misc$0
Total monthly cost$3,020
Rent in year 10$4,032
Security deposit (held)$3,000
Monthly net cash flow$6,980
Tax settingsMarried filing jointly · Auto deduction
Filing status
Deduction

Auto picks itemize when mortgage interest + property tax (capped at $10,000 SALT) exceeds the standard deduction ($30,000 for MFJ).

Break-even year
Never
Renting leads for the full 30 years.
Buy net worth · year 30
$4,495,638
After selling costs and capital gains tax.
Rent net worth · year 30
$5,276,517
Investment portfolio after LTCG.

Net worth over time

Renting leads the entire horizon. After 30 years renting leads by $2,080,871.
Buy net worthRent net worth
Year-by-year breakdown
YearOwner costRent costPrincipalInterestEquityRent investBuy netRent net
1$71k$36k$7k$41k$191k$316k$19k$86k
2$71k$37k$8k$41k$224k$423k$96k$177k
3$72k$38k$8k$40k$257k$537k$177k$274k
4$73k$40k$9k$40k$292k$658k$261k$376k
5$73k$41k$9k$39k$328k$785k$349k$483k
6$74k$42k$10k$39k$366k$921k$442k$597k
7$75k$43k$11k$38k$405k$1.1M$539k$718k
8$76k$45k$11k$37k$446k$1.2M$640k$846k
9$77k$46k$12k$37k$488k$1.4M$747k$982k
10$77k$47k$13k$36k$533k$1.5M$858k$1.1M
11$78k$49k$14k$35k$578k$1.7M$975k$1.3M
12$79k$50k$15k$34k$626k$1.9M$1.1M$1.4M
13$80k$52k$16k$33k$676k$2.1M$1.2M$1.6M
14$81k$53k$17k$32k$728k$2.3M$1.4M$1.8M
15$82k$55k$18k$31k$782k$2.6M$1.5M$2M
16$83k$56k$19k$30k$838k$2.8M$1.6M$2.2M
17$84k$58k$20k$28k$897k$3.1M$1.8M$2.4M
18$85k$60k$22k$27k$958k$3.4M$2M$2.6M
19$86k$62k$23k$26k$1M$3.7M$2.1M$2.9M
20$87k$64k$25k$24k$1.1M$4M$2.3M$3.1M
21$88k$65k$26k$22k$1.2M$4.3M$2.5M$3.4M
22$89k$67k$28k$21k$1.2M$4.7M$2.7M$3.7M
23$91k$69k$30k$19k$1.3M$5M$2.9M$4M
24$92k$71k$32k$17k$1.4M$5.4M$3.1M$4.3M
25$93k$74k$34k$15k$1.5M$5.9M$3.4M$4.7M
26$94k$76k$36k$12k$1.6M$6.3M$3.6M$5.1M
27$96k$78k$39k$10k$1.6M$6.8M$3.9M$5.5M
28$97k$80k$41k$7k$1.7M$7.3M$4.2M$5.9M
29$99k$83k$44k$5k$1.8M$7.9M$4.4M$6.3M
30$100k$85k$47k$2k$1.9M$8.5M$4.7M$6.8M
Sensitivity — break-even year vs. assumption shifts
Assumption-2%-1%Base+1%+2%
Home appreciation(base 3%)
Investment return(base 7%)
Rent inflation(base 3%)

“—” means buying never overtakes renting within the time horizon under that assumption.